The S&P 500 Index is down over 22% (peak-to-trough). Unfortunately, the largest declines in equities have historically occurred as a result of recessions, and odds are high that we are going to be entering one soon. The bear markets of 2020 and 2008 both...
Easy money policies by the Fed and excessive fiscal spending have placed the economy and thus markets in a position of weakness. Inflation is raging and the Fed is trying to reign it in as the economy is showing signs of slowing. The net result is that markets are...
I recently met with a friend who asked me to analyze his retirement account. His account is allocated similarly to most retirees which is 60% invested in stocks and 40% in bonds. He uses a passive buy-and-hold strategy. I took his allocation and backtested it...
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The S&P 500 Index is down 13.3% year-to-date and is below both its 50 and 200-day moving averages. On Friday the index lost 3.6% falling marginally below the March low. This support level is widely being watched and is a line in the sand for many...
Bond yields are rising at a historic pace putting the 40-year bull market in bonds into question. What should conservative investors be doing given their bonds are no longer providing them the protection they are used to.
In today’s update, I analyze the stock market by determining if we are in a bullish, risk-on environment or a bearish, risk-off environment.
I believe that the stock market is at a crossroads. Major stock market indexes are long-term extended and momentum has rolled over. However, in the short-term, those indexes have bounced and are now at a point where if we are in a bear market environment, I would...
The current correction in equity markets began in Q1 - Q2 of last year despite major market indexes not breaking down until the beginning of this year. This correction can be seen in the progressive deterioration in market breadth that I have shown in numerous past...
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