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Hanging By A Thread
The S&P 500 Index is down 13.3% year-to-date and is below both its 50 and 200-day moving averages. On Friday the index lost 3.6% falling marginally below the March low. This support level is widely being watched and is a line in the sand for many...
Bonds – No Longer Providing Protection
Bond yields are rising at a historic pace putting the 40-year bull market in bonds into question. What should conservative investors be doing given their bonds are no longer providing them the protection they are used to.
Risk-On or Risk-Off
In today’s update, I analyze the stock market by determining if we are in a bullish, risk-on environment or a bearish, risk-off environment.
Stock Market at a Crossroads
I believe that the stock market is at a crossroads. Major stock market indexes are long-term extended and momentum has rolled over. However, in the short-term, those indexes have bounced and are now at a point where if we are in a bear market environment, I would...
Are We In The Early Stages Of A Bear Market?
The current correction in equity markets began in Q1 - Q2 of last year despite major market indexes not breaking down until the beginning of this year. This correction can be seen in the progressive deterioration in market breadth that I have shown in numerous past...
Stock Market and Account Update
Market Breadth Market breadth has been signaling internal market weakness since the first half of last year. Market breadth has been deteriorating for months. In our January 25, 2022 Update I highlighted how important segments of the market (Industrials,...
Stock Market Breaks Down
In today’s stock market update video I look at:
What bearish technical factor signaled an increase in market risk going back to last year.
How much technical damage was done over the past three weeks?
Where does the stock market go from here?
Stock Market and Account Update
Major market indexes advanced strongly last year, but that does not tell the whole story. Not even close. Historically, sustainable market advances characteristically exhibit strong market breadth (meaning there is participation from most stocks) and a risk-on...