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Stock Market Risk Elevated

Stock Market Risk Elevated

Market Update As mentioned in my June 24, 2019 market update: Stock Market Walking a Tightrope, the stock market had many longer-term negative divergences that I felt increased market risk over the intermediate-term. I indicated that these divergences were only red...

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Stock Selection, Entries and Management

Stock Selection, Entries and Management

We are switching things up this month. We published a comprehensive market update last week so there is no need to repeat ourselves. So this month I briefly restate our current market thesis and spend most of the time explaining how we manage our equity positions....

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Tweets, Tariffs and Technicals

Tweets, Tariffs and Technicals

Market Update   The stock market has pulled back over the last month based on the realization that the trade war is not going to be ending any time soon. The effect of tariffs is that they provide an additional headwind for an economy that is already nearing the...

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Short and Long-Term Market Forecast

Short and Long-Term Market Forecast

Market Update I would like to start our May newsletter with a brief explanation of how I analyze markets. Then share with you what that analysis is suggesting about the current market environment. If you are not interested in our process and just want to know what...

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Stock Market Technicals Turn Short-Term Positive

Stock Market Technicals Turn Short-Term Positive

In my ongoing effort to make my content more beneficial for clients and prospects, I have been using fewer charts and technical jargon in my monthly newsletters and updates. Instead, I am relying on more concise commentary to explain what is going on in the market...

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Gaining Momentum

Gaining Momentum

Market Update As I mentioned in my March newsletter, the stock market has churned sideways for the past 14 months. This sideways consolidation has been accompanied by some big moves both up and down, as you can see from the chart below. Global economic growth has been...

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Sideways

Sideways

Market Update   Price Action - The S&P 500 Index (market proxy) The month of February saw stocks continue to advance. The move off the December lows has been impressive. However, if you zoom out and look at the market from a longer-term perspective, stocks...

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Getting Perspective on the Markets

Getting Perspective on the Markets

Housekeeping I write monthly newsletters that are posted on the first Monday of each month. In addition, I post periodic updates dependent on what is going on in the markets. I did not post any updates in January because I had my tech guy working on my web page and he...

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Stock Market Indecision

Stock Market Indecision

The stock market has, for the most part, moved sideways this year. The big question is whether stocks are going to eventually break out to the upside and advance to new all-time highs or break down below the lows of earlier this year. There is obviously no way to know...

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