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Stock Market Continues to Tank!

Stock Market Continues to Tank!

For months we have been writing about how technicals were signaling elevated risk in the stock market. See our last two market updates: The Long and the Short of It and Stock Market Looking Frothy. The S&P 500 is down 18.5% from the high it hit last month and down...

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Stock Market and Account Update – March 1, 2020

Stock Market and Account Update – March 1, 2020

The Long and the Short of It   The S&P has fallen 12.7 % over the past 7 trading days and is down 8.5% year-to-date. The past week is a good example of how the broad stock market can fall a lot faster than it rises. The recent market volatility has been...

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Want Our Opinion?

Want Our Opinion?

Thank you for taking an interest in our Stock/Bond Market updates. We are unique in that we use technical analysis to garner strong returns but without the risk associated with the traditional buy-and-hold philosophy used by most investors. If you have...

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Stock Market and Account Update – February 3, 2020

Stock Market and Account Update – February 3, 2020

Economic Head Fake Bond Yield and Commodity Breakout Fails In last month's newsletter, I highlighted two main points. One, the market was in an uptrend; however, overbought and due for some type of pullback/correction. Two, commodities and treasury yields were...

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Stock Market and Account Update – January 6, 2020

Stock Market and Account Update – January 6, 2020

Long-Term Stock Market Summary Below is a monthly chart of the S&P 500 Index (middle panel) going back over 20 years. In the top panel is the momentum indicator RSI and in the lower panel is the Percentage Price Oscillator (PPO) which is another momentum...

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Stocks Break Out and Internals Suggest Caution

Stocks Break Out and Internals Suggest Caution

Long-Term Stock Market Summary   On October 28, 2019, the S&P 500 advanced to new all-time highs and above an area of major resistance. This is bullish price action. Prior to that break to new highs, the stock market had been volatile and not able to make any...

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Divergences Persist

Divergences Persist

Stock Market Indexes The S&P 500 Index is in an uptrend as defined by a series of higher-highs and higher-lows. Today's close puts the index slightly above the notated uptrend line and at an all-time high. Over the past two years, each time the index has reached...

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Market Sitting Precariously on a Ledge

Market Sitting Precariously on a Ledge

I publish our comprehensive monthly market update on the first Monday of each month. In last month's update I highlighted the reasons for my bearish market thesis which I base on many longer-term negative divergences that continue to build, such as: • Glaring bearish...

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When the Levee Breaks

When the Levee Breaks

Led Zeppelin: When the Levee Breaks "If it keeps on rainin', levee's goin' to break And all these people have no place to stay" This song reminds me of what I am seeing in the stock market. Many long-term negative breadth and momentum divergences that are screaming...

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House of Cards

House of Cards

I began to turn bearish the broad stock market June 2019 as noted in our June 24, 2019 Market Update: Stock Market Walking a Tightrope. The stock market is still technically in an uptrend that started in January 2019; however, that doesn't negate the many red flags I...

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