I began to turn bearish the broad stock market June 2019 as noted in our June 24, 2019 Market Update: Stock Market Walking a Tightrope. The stock market is still technically in an uptrend that started in January 2019; however, that doesn’t...
Category - Monthly Newsletter
Stock Market Risk Elevated
Market Update As mentioned in my June 24, 2019 market update: Stock Market Walking a Tightrope, the stock market had many longer-term negative divergences that I felt increased market risk over the intermediate-term. I indicated that these...
Stock Selection, Entries and Management
We are switching things up this month. We published a comprehensive market update last week so there is no need to repeat ourselves. So this month I briefly restate our current market thesis and spend most of the time explaining how we manage our...
Tweets, Tariffs and Technicals
Market Update The stock market has pulled back over the last month based on the realization that the trade war is not going to be ending any time soon. The effect of tariffs is that they provide an additional headwind for an economy that is...
Short and Long-Term Market Forecast
Market Update I would like to start our May newsletter with a brief explanation of how I analyze markets. Then share with you what that analysis is suggesting about the current market environment. If you are not interested in our process and just...
Gaining Momentum
Market Update As I mentioned in my March newsletter, the stock market has churned sideways for the past 14 months. This sideways consolidation has been accompanied by some big moves both up and down, as you can see from the chart below. Global...
Sideways
Market Update Price Action – The S&P 500 Index (market proxy) The month of February saw stocks continue to advance. The move off the December lows has been impressive. However, if you zoom out and look at the market from a longer...
Getting Perspective on the Markets
Housekeeping I write monthly newsletters that are posted on the first Monday of each month. In addition, I post periodic updates dependent on what is going on in the markets. I did not post any updates in January because I had my tech guy working on...
Stock Market Indecision
The stock market has, for the most part, moved sideways this year. The big question is whether stocks are going to eventually break out to the upside and advance to new all-time highs or break down below the lows of earlier this year. There is...
How Is The Current Stock Market Decline Different From The February Decline?
The stock market experienced an 11% decline last February, but we stayed with our bullish thesis. Last month the stock market experiences another 11% decline, and now we are bearish stocks. So, what’s the difference this time? Overall, there...