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Archive - 2019

Monthly Newsletter

Divergences Persist

Stock Market Indexes The S&P 500 Index is in an uptrend as defined by a series of higher-highs and higher-lows. Today’s close puts the index slightly above the notated uptrend line and at an all-time high. Over the past two years, each...

Monthly Newsletter

Market Sitting Precariously on a Ledge

I publish our comprehensive monthly market update on the first Monday of each month. In last month’s update I highlighted the reasons for my bearish market thesis which I base on many longer-term negative divergences that continue to build...

Tech Talk

When the Levee Breaks

Led Zeppelin: When the Levee Breaks “If it keeps on rainin’, levee’s goin’ to break And all these people have no place to stay” This song reminds me of what I am seeing in the stock market. Many long-term negative...

Monthly Newsletter

House of Cards

I began to turn bearish the broad stock market June 2019 as noted in our June 24, 2019 Market Update: Stock Market Walking a Tightrope. The stock market is still technically in an uptrend that started in January 2019; however, that doesn’t...

Market/Account Updates

Stock Market Risk Elevated and Rising

In our June 24, 2019, August 5, 2019, and August 11, 2019 market updates I explained how market technicals were suggesting that stock market risk was elevated and the odds of a market correction had increased significantly. Even though I was seeing...

Market/Account Updates

Stock Market/Client Account Update

In our June 24, 2019 and August 5, 2019 market update newsletters we explained how market technicals were suggesting that stock market risk was elevated and the odds of a market correction had increased significantly. In today’s video we...

Monthly Newsletter

Stock Market Risk Elevated

Market Update As mentioned in my June 24, 2019 market update: Stock Market Walking a Tightrope, the stock market had many longer-term negative divergences that I felt increased market risk over the intermediate-term. I indicated that these...

Monthly Newsletter

Stock Selection, Entries and Management

We are switching things up this month. We published a comprehensive market update last week so there is no need to repeat ourselves. So this month I briefly restate our current market thesis and spend most of the time explaining how we manage our...

Market/Account Updates

Stock Market Walking a Tightrope

As I have mentioned in previous updates, I am bullish on the stock market. However, many of the long-term charts have been showing negative divergences that continue to build. These divergences can last for very long periods of time so they are not...

Market/Account Updates

Market Still Bullish

Market Update The weight of the technical evidence remains bullish. Market breadth is still positive and the market (S&P 500 index) is trading above both it’s 200 and 50-day moving averages. The pullback in stocks that occurred last month...

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