Led Zeppelin: When the Levee Breaks “If it keeps on rainin’, levee’s goin’ to break And all these people have no place to stay” This song reminds me of what I am seeing in the stock market. Many long-term negative...
Archive - 2019
House of Cards
I began to turn bearish the broad stock market June 2019 as noted in our June 24, 2019 Market Update: Stock Market Walking a Tightrope. The stock market is still technically in an uptrend that started in January 2019; however, that doesn’t...
Stock Market Risk Elevated and Rising
In our June 24, 2019, August 5, 2019, and August 11, 2019 market updates I explained how market technicals were suggesting that stock market risk was elevated and the odds of a market correction had increased significantly. Even though I was seeing...
Stock Market/Client Account Update
In our June 24, 2019 and August 5, 2019 market update newsletters we explained how market technicals were suggesting that stock market risk was elevated and the odds of a market correction had increased significantly. In today’s video we...
Stock Market Risk Elevated
Market Update As mentioned in my June 24, 2019 market update: Stock Market Walking a Tightrope, the stock market had many longer-term negative divergences that I felt increased market risk over the intermediate-term. I indicated that these...
Stock Selection, Entries and Management
We are switching things up this month. We published a comprehensive market update last week so there is no need to repeat ourselves. So this month I briefly restate our current market thesis and spend most of the time explaining how we manage our...
Stock Market Walking a Tightrope
As I have mentioned in previous updates, I am bullish on the stock market. However, many of the long-term charts have been showing negative divergences that continue to build. These divergences can last for very long periods of time so they are not...
Market Still Bullish
Market Update The weight of the technical evidence remains bullish. Market breadth is still positive and the market (S&P 500 index) is trading above both it’s 200 and 50-day moving averages. The pullback in stocks that occurred last month...
Tweets, Tariffs and Technicals
Market Update The stock market has pulled back over the last month based on the realization that the trade war is not going to be ending any time soon. The effect of tariffs is that they provide an additional headwind for an economy that is...
Tariffs and a Stock Market Sell-Off
Trade wars are back in the news and the financial markets are worried about a breakdown in trade negotiations that could result in Trump raising tariffs on Chinese goods by the end of the week. As I mentioned in my May 2019 Newsletter, the stock...